Recent passage of a cold front has established cooler, cloudier conditions over São Paulo, driving trader consensus toward a 21–23°C high on August 25 with 22°C leading at 31% implied probability. Southerly to southeasterly flow, widespread stratiform cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14°C are limiting daytime insolation and surface heating under a post-frontal air mass. Multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on afternoon maxima near 20–22°C amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological August averages around 22°C while reflecting the transient cooling, with final resolution depending on official INMET observations the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 25 de agosto?
22°C 31%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
31%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 31%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
31%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front has established cooler, cloudier conditions over São Paulo, driving trader consensus toward a 21–23°C high on August 25 with 22°C leading at 31% implied probability. Southerly to southeasterly flow, widespread stratiform cloud cover, and modest dew points near 12–14°C are limiting daytime insolation and surface heating under a post-frontal air mass. Multiple forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on afternoon maxima near 20–22°C amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with climatological August averages around 22°C while reflecting the transient cooling, with final resolution depending on official INMET observations the following day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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