Current forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles places Tel Aviv’s July 17 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (58.5 %). No strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging appears in short-range runs, keeping odds for 33 °C+ low. Recent observations through mid-July show consistent 30–32 °C readings, reinforcing trader consensus that standard thermal and wind patterns will dominate the next 48 hours absent any late model shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de julho?
32°C 60%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 3.3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
60%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
34°C 3.3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
60%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles places Tel Aviv’s July 17 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32 °C (58.5 %). No strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging appears in short-range runs, keeping odds for 33 °C+ low. Recent observations through mid-July show consistent 30–32 °C readings, reinforcing trader consensus that standard thermal and wind patterns will dominate the next 48 hours absent any late model shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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