Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system are suppressing maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on August 12, positioning 25°C as the leading market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from timeanddate, BBC Weather, and ECMWF model consensus indicate a high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below the seasonal August average of 30–33°C. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, with minimal model disagreement on the timing of peak rain through the day. Recent updates reinforcing the rain event have consolidated trader consensus around 25–26°C, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability without a rapid clearing trend.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 12 de agosto?
25°C 72%
26°C 22%
27°C 8%
28°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
56%
26°C
22%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 72%
26°C 22%
27°C 8%
28°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
$841 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,519 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$117 Vol.
56%
26°C
$136 Vol.
22%
27°C
$522 Vol.
8%
28°C
$257 Vol.
1%
29°C
$386 Vol.
1%
30°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system are suppressing maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on August 12, positioning 25°C as the leading market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from timeanddate, BBC Weather, and ECMWF model consensus indicate a high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below the seasonal August average of 30–33°C. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, with minimal model disagreement on the timing of peak rain through the day. Recent updates reinforcing the rain event have consolidated trader consensus around 25–26°C, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability without a rapid clearing trend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$8,388Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system are suppressing maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on August 12, positioning 25°C as the leading market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from timeanddate, BBC Weather, and ECMWF model consensus indicate a high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below the seasonal August average of 30–33°C. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, with minimal model disagreement on the timing of peak rain through the day. Recent updates reinforcing the rain event have consolidated trader consensus around 25–26°C, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability without a rapid clearing trend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,388Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system are suppressing maximum temperatures in Zhengzhou on August 12, positioning 25°C as the leading market outcome at 63.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from timeanddate, BBC Weather, and ECMWF model consensus indicate a high near 23–24°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity, well below the seasonal August average of 30–33°C. These conditions limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, with minimal model disagreement on the timing of peak rain through the day. Recent updates reinforcing the rain event have consolidated trader consensus around 25–26°C, while warmer outcomes remain low-probability without a rapid clearing trend.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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