**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 3 de setembro?
29°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Vol.
$6,805 Vol.
3 set 2026
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 Vol.
$6,805 Vol.
3 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$1,230 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,240 Vol.
Não
24°C
$325 Vol.
Não
25°C
$200 Vol.
Não
26°C
$132 Vol.
Não
27°C
$995 Vol.
Não
28°C
$492 Vol.
Não
29°C
$438 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$567 Vol.
Não
31°C
$400 Vol.
Não
32°C ou mais
$786 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,805Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,805Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions