Forecast models and surface observations from agencies tracking northern China indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Zhengzhou, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the overnight minimum near 19°C. Multiple numerical guidance runs converge on lows of 19–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for exactly 19°C, aligns with this consensus range while assigning secondary weight to 18°C outcomes if cooling proves slightly more efficient. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the temperature profile before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 4 de setembro?
18°C 70%
17°C 14%
15°C ou menos 1%
20°C <1%
$939 Vol.
$939 Vol.
4 set 2026
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
-
17°C
14%
18°C
70%
19°C
-
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 70%
17°C 14%
15°C ou menos 1%
20°C <1%
$939 Vol.
$939 Vol.
4 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$122 Vol.
1%
16°C
$122 Vol.
-
17°C
$73 Vol.
14%
18°C
$132 Vol.
70%
19°C
$179 Vol.
-
20°C
$165 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and surface observations from agencies tracking northern China indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Zhengzhou, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the overnight minimum near 19°C. Multiple numerical guidance runs converge on lows of 19–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for exactly 19°C, aligns with this consensus range while assigning secondary weight to 18°C outcomes if cooling proves slightly more efficient. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the temperature profile before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$939Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and surface observations from agencies tracking northern China indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Zhengzhou, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the overnight minimum near 19°C. Multiple numerical guidance runs converge on lows of 19–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for exactly 19°C, aligns with this consensus range while assigning secondary weight to 18°C outcomes if cooling proves slightly more efficient. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the temperature profile before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$939Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and surface observations from agencies tracking northern China indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Zhengzhou, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the overnight minimum near 19°C. Multiple numerical guidance runs converge on lows of 19–20°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability for exactly 19°C, aligns with this consensus range while assigning secondary weight to 18°C outcomes if cooling proves slightly more efficient. No significant frontal passages or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the temperature profile before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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