Skip to main content
icon for Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)

icon for Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)

jun 30

dez 31

jun 30

dez 31

≤8 50%

10 15%

9 14%

11 12%

Polymarket

$90,387 Vol.

≤8 50%

10 15%

9 14%

11 12%

Polymarket

$90,387 Vol.

≤8

$25,442 Vol.

50%

9

$17,549 Vol.

21%

10

$8,417 Vol.

15%

11

$28,083 Vol.

12%

12

$4,406 Vol.

7%

13

$2,773 Vol.

3%

14+

$3,718 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic data from the USGS shows five magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, followed by a multi-week lull with no additional events above this threshold. This pattern aligns with the historical annual average of roughly 15–16 such quakes and supports trader consensus favoring lower totals by June 30, as reflected in the 50% implied probability for eight or fewer. Seismic activity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by episodic clustering and extended quiet intervals, with current monitoring of major fault systems indicating no immediate surge in energy release. Upcoming USGS catalog updates through early June will provide key observational data to refine expectations for any late-spring activity.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$90,387
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic data from the USGS shows five magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, followed by a multi-week lull with no additional events above this threshold. This pattern aligns with the historical annual average of roughly 15–16 such quakes and supports trader consensus favoring lower totals by June 30, as reflected in the 50% implied probability for eight or fewer. Seismic activity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by episodic clustering and extended quiet intervals, with current monitoring of major fault systems indicating no immediate surge in energy release. Upcoming USGS catalog updates through early June will provide key observational data to refine expectations for any late-spring activity.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$90,387
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≤8" at 50%, followed by "9" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)" has generated $90.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)" is "≤8" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? (Golpes mais altos)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.