Persistent internal criticism within South Korea’s main opposition People Power Party has driven trader consensus on a 63.5 percent chance that Jang Dong-hyeok departs as party leader by June 30, 2026. Mounting calls for his resignation intensified in the weeks before the June 3 local elections, including a public demand from preliminary candidate Joo Gwang-deok on May 11 and earlier pressure from governors and lawmakers citing factional divisions and low approval. Jang has repeatedly rejected early exit, pledging instead to accept voter judgment after the contests, yet analysts highlight the strong likelihood of a post-election no-confidence motion or leadership challenge. These near-term electoral and internal dynamics continue to shape assessments of the timeline for any transition.