The June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with nationwide local contests, place the People Power Party in a defensive posture after its 2025 presidential defeat and ongoing low approval ratings near 15-19 percent. Traders price exactly three seats highest because the PPP holds incumbencies in conservative strongholds such as Daegu's Dalseong and Busan's Buk-A, where recent nominations of figures like former leader Han Dong-hoon reinforce retention prospects amid limited national momentum. Two seats rank second due to risks of losses in mixed or Democratic-leaning districts and potential vote-splitting by parties like Rebuilding Korea in Pyeongtaek. Democratic Party calls for voter judgment tied to prior leadership controversies further constrain upside, while procedural timelines through early June limit volatility absent major late shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado# de assentos conquistados pelo PPP nas eleições parciais da Coreia do Sul?
3 49%
2 35%
1 9.4%
4 8.2%
$36,831 Vol.
$36,831 Vol.
0
4%
1
9%
2
35%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 35%
1 9.4%
4 8.2%
$36,831 Vol.
$36,831 Vol.
0
4%
1
9%
2
35%
3
49%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with nationwide local contests, place the People Power Party in a defensive posture after its 2025 presidential defeat and ongoing low approval ratings near 15-19 percent. Traders price exactly three seats highest because the PPP holds incumbencies in conservative strongholds such as Daegu's Dalseong and Busan's Buk-A, where recent nominations of figures like former leader Han Dong-hoon reinforce retention prospects amid limited national momentum. Two seats rank second due to risks of losses in mixed or Democratic-leaning districts and potential vote-splitting by parties like Rebuilding Korea in Pyeongtaek. Democratic Party calls for voter judgment tied to prior leadership controversies further constrain upside, while procedural timelines through early June limit volatility absent major late shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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