Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido
Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP) 97.6%
Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP) 1.9%
Partido Progressista (PP) <1%
Partido da Reforma (RP) <1%
$2,492,758 Vol.
$2,492,758 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)
$538,310 Vol.
98%
Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP)
$1,097,565 Vol.
2%
Partido Progressista (PP)
$364,580 Vol.
<1%
Partido da Reforma (RP)
$202,809 Vol.
<1%
Partido Reconstruindo a Coreia (RKP)
$289,494 Vol.
<1%
Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP) 97.6%
Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP) 1.9%
Partido Progressista (PP) <1%
Partido da Reforma (RP) <1%
$2,492,758 Vol.
$2,492,758 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)
$538,310 Vol.
98%
Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP)
$1,097,565 Vol.
2%
Partido Progressista (PP)
$364,580 Vol.
<1%
Partido da Reforma (RP)
$202,809 Vol.
<1%
Partido Reconstruindo a Coreia (RKP)
$289,494 Vol.
<1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 97.7% implied probability to the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) securing the most victories among 17 metropolitan mayors and provincial governors in the June 3, 2026 local elections, driven by President Lee Jae-myung's robust approval since his 2025 snap election win amid former PPP President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment over the December 2024 martial law declaration. Recent polls affirm DP leads in battlegrounds like Seoul (45.6% vs. PPP's 35.4%) and Busan, compounded by PPP's factional infighting and scandal stigma, as highlighted in May 8 reporting. Candidate registration opened May 14, intensifying final campaigning; realistic challengers include a late DP scandal, PPP candidate unification, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though structural polling trends limit upside for alternatives.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 97.7% implied probability to the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) securing the most victories among 17 metropolitan mayors and provincial governors in the June 3, 2026 local elections, driven by President Lee Jae-myung's robust approval since his 2025 snap election win amid former PPP President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment over the December 2024 martial law declaration. Recent polls affirm DP leads in battlegrounds like Seoul (45.6% vs. PPP's 35.4%) and Busan, compounded by PPP's factional infighting and scandal stigma, as highlighted in May 8 reporting. Candidate registration opened May 14, intensifying final campaigning; realistic challengers include a late DP scandal, PPP candidate unification, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though structural polling trends limit upside for alternatives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
May 2 2026
Democratic Party floor spokesperson praises prosecutors’ death‑penalty request for Yoon
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 99%2%
A Democratic Party spokesperson publicly welcomed the prosecutors’ move, reinforcing the party’s tough stance on the former PPP president and further shifting market sentiment toward the DP.
Apr 30 2026
South Korean President Lee meets China’s Xi, pledges stronger ties amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%1%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑level visit to Beijing and agreement on cooperation underscored diplomatic stability for the governing Democratic Party, reinforcing voter confidence and nudging the DP price upward.
Apr 27 2026
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%1%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief tied to Yoon’s martial‑law episode further implicated the People Power Party in the 2024 crisis, reinforcing the downward pressure on PPP’s odds.
Apr 24 2026
President Lee meets Xi in Beijing, pledges stronger Korea‑China trade ties
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%3%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑profile visit to China underscored the Democratic administration’s diplomatic successes, improving its image domestically and contributing to a rise in DP confidence.
Apr 24 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
Prosecutors asked for the maximum punishment for ex‑President Yoon Suk Yeol, a leading figure of the People Power Party, intensifying public backlash against the PPP and lifting Democratic Party confidence ahead of local elections.
Apr 24 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The same prosecutorial move was interpreted as a blow to the People Power Party, causing traders to shift confidence to the Democratic Party, raising DP’s price from 95% to 96% the next day.
Apr 23 2026
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee’s symbolic return to the Blue House highlighted the new administration’s break from Yoon’s legacy, boosting confidence in the Democratic Party and contributing to a slight rise in DP’s price.
Mar 23 2026
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
President Lee Jae Myung moved back to the traditional presidential palace, Cheong Wa Dae, reversing his predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol's relocation. This symbolic act reinforced Lee's legitimacy and the Democratic Party's consolidation of power, supporting the DP's strong market position.
Mar 18 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%4%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for his role in the 2024 martial law attempt, highlighting the severity of his political downfall and reinforcing public and political support for the Democratic Party of Korea. This event coincided with a temporary dip and recovery in DP market prices, reflecting market reactions to the legal developments surrounding Yoon.
Mar 2 2026
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace, signaling political consolidation
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee's move back to Cheong Wa Dae, avoided by his predecessor Yoon, symbolized a restoration of traditional governance and strengthened the Democratic Party's image, contributing to increased market confidence in the DP ahead of the local elections.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The sentencing of former President Yoon to five years in prison for his martial law decree marked a significant legal defeat for the conservative faction and bolstered the Democratic Party's standing ahead of the local elections, contributing to the high market confidence in the DP's victory.
Feb 8 2026
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%2%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief implicated in Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further delegitimized the conservative establishment, reinforcing the Democratic Party’s narrative of restoring democratic order and pushing PPP support lower.
Jan 30 2026
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%3%
A court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison related to his martial law declaration, confirming his political downfall and strengthening the Democratic Party's position. This verdict caused the Democratic Party of Korea's market price to rise sharply from 92% to 95%, while the People Power Party's price dropped from 7% to 2%.
Jan 30 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) drops to 3%5%
Prosecutors formally requested the maximum penalty for ex‑President Yoon Suk‑yeol, intensifying public backlash against the conservative People Power Party and rallying support for the ruling Democratic Party ahead of the local elections.
Jan 22 2026
President Lee Jae‑Myung returns to the Blue House for the first time since 2022
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%4%
Lee’s symbolic move back to the traditional presidential palace signaled a consolidation of liberal power and a break from his predecessor’s controversial tenure, bolstering confidence in the Democratic Party’s prospects in the upcoming local elections.
Jan 21 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 93%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law declaration, reinforcing the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's allies. This event increased market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea from 92% to 93% and decreased the People Power Party's price from 8% to 7%.
Jan 13 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 92%1%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection via martial law in December 2024, signaling severe legal jeopardy for the conservative figure and negatively impacting the People Power Party's market position while bolstering the Democratic Party's prospects.
Jan 9 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%1%
Prosecutors requested the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection, highlighting the severity of his legal troubles and diminishing his political standing. This development bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, which opposed Yoon, causing its market price to rise from 90% to 91% and the People Power Party's price to fall from 9% to 8%.
Dec 19 2025
Reform Party and Progressive Party remain at record lows
Reform Party (RP) dips to 0%1%
By mid-December, the Reform Party and Progressive Party failed to gain traction, with their market shares remaining at 1%, indicating that voters were largely ignoring these smaller parties in favor of the Democratic Party.
Dec 11 2025
Rebuilding Korea Party experiences volatility amid political realignment
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 1%2%
The Rebuilding Korea Party saw a brief spike in interest followed by a decline, reflecting the broader instability and consolidation of the political landscape as voters gravitated toward the established Democratic Party.
Dec 7 2025
Democratic Party gains as scandal‑hit parties tumble
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 87%3%
Amid the escalating legal crisis for Yoon and his allies, public opinion polls showed a surge in support for the Democratic Party of Korea, lifting its market price toward the 90% range.
Dec 6 2025
Court sentences former President Yoon to five years for martial‑law decree
People Power Party (PPP) rises to 13%4%
A Seoul court handed former President Yoon a five‑year prison term for his role in the December 2024 martial‑law episode, cementing the legal fallout and prompting further erosion of support for the PPP and its allied minor parties.
Dec 4 2025
Constitutional Court removes police chief for martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 9%1%
The Constitutional Court formally removed Police Chief Cho Ji‑ho for his role in supporting Yoon’s illegal martial‑law deployment, further implicating the PPP‑aligned security apparatus and deepening voter backlash against the party.
Dec 4 2025
Democratic Party of Korea gains momentum as opposition struggles
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
As the People Power Party and other minor parties faced a collapse in support following the legal developments against Yoon, the Democratic Party of Korea saw its market share rise, reflecting its strengthened position as the dominant political force.
Dec 2 2025
Prosecutors seek death penalty for ex‑President Yoon over martial‑law rebellion
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 10%40%
South Korean prosecutors filed a request for a death sentence against former President Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges related to his December 2024 martial‑law decree, intensifying the scandal surrounding the conservative People Power Party.
Dec 2 2025
South Korean prosecutor seeks death sentence for ex-leader Yoon over martial law decree
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
The demand for the death penalty against former President Yoon Suk Yeol intensified the political crisis for the conservative People Power Party, causing its market share to drop sharply as the public and political establishment distanced themselves from the former leader.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 97.7% implied probability to the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) securing the most victories among 17 metropolitan mayors and provincial governors in the June 3, 2026 local elections, driven by President Lee Jae-myung's robust approval since his 2025 snap election win amid former PPP President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment over the December 2024 martial law declaration. Recent polls affirm DP leads in battlegrounds like Seoul (45.6% vs. PPP's 35.4%) and Busan, compounded by PPP's factional infighting and scandal stigma, as highlighted in May 8 reporting. Candidate registration opened May 14, intensifying final campaigning; realistic challengers include a late DP scandal, PPP candidate unification, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though structural polling trends limit upside for alternatives.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (Mayor or Governor) elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Korean local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 97.7% implied probability to the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) securing the most victories among 17 metropolitan mayors and provincial governors in the June 3, 2026 local elections, driven by President Lee Jae-myung's robust approval since his 2025 snap election win amid former PPP President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment over the December 2024 martial law declaration. Recent polls affirm DP leads in battlegrounds like Seoul (45.6% vs. PPP's 35.4%) and Busan, compounded by PPP's factional infighting and scandal stigma, as highlighted in May 8 reporting. Candidate registration opened May 14, intensifying final campaigning; realistic challengers include a late DP scandal, PPP candidate unification, or anti-incumbent turnout surge, though structural polling trends limit upside for alternatives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
May 2 2026
Democratic Party floor spokesperson praises prosecutors’ death‑penalty request for Yoon
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 99%2%
A Democratic Party spokesperson publicly welcomed the prosecutors’ move, reinforcing the party’s tough stance on the former PPP president and further shifting market sentiment toward the DP.
Apr 30 2026
South Korean President Lee meets China’s Xi, pledges stronger ties amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%1%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑level visit to Beijing and agreement on cooperation underscored diplomatic stability for the governing Democratic Party, reinforcing voter confidence and nudging the DP price upward.
Apr 27 2026
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%1%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief tied to Yoon’s martial‑law episode further implicated the People Power Party in the 2024 crisis, reinforcing the downward pressure on PPP’s odds.
Apr 24 2026
President Lee meets Xi in Beijing, pledges stronger Korea‑China trade ties
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%3%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑profile visit to China underscored the Democratic administration’s diplomatic successes, improving its image domestically and contributing to a rise in DP confidence.
Apr 24 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
Prosecutors asked for the maximum punishment for ex‑President Yoon Suk Yeol, a leading figure of the People Power Party, intensifying public backlash against the PPP and lifting Democratic Party confidence ahead of local elections.
Apr 24 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The same prosecutorial move was interpreted as a blow to the People Power Party, causing traders to shift confidence to the Democratic Party, raising DP’s price from 95% to 96% the next day.
Apr 23 2026
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee’s symbolic return to the Blue House highlighted the new administration’s break from Yoon’s legacy, boosting confidence in the Democratic Party and contributing to a slight rise in DP’s price.
Mar 23 2026
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
President Lee Jae Myung moved back to the traditional presidential palace, Cheong Wa Dae, reversing his predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol's relocation. This symbolic act reinforced Lee's legitimacy and the Democratic Party's consolidation of power, supporting the DP's strong market position.
Mar 18 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%4%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for his role in the 2024 martial law attempt, highlighting the severity of his political downfall and reinforcing public and political support for the Democratic Party of Korea. This event coincided with a temporary dip and recovery in DP market prices, reflecting market reactions to the legal developments surrounding Yoon.
Mar 2 2026
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace, signaling political consolidation
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee's move back to Cheong Wa Dae, avoided by his predecessor Yoon, symbolized a restoration of traditional governance and strengthened the Democratic Party's image, contributing to increased market confidence in the DP ahead of the local elections.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The sentencing of former President Yoon to five years in prison for his martial law decree marked a significant legal defeat for the conservative faction and bolstered the Democratic Party's standing ahead of the local elections, contributing to the high market confidence in the DP's victory.
Feb 8 2026
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%2%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief implicated in Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further delegitimized the conservative establishment, reinforcing the Democratic Party’s narrative of restoring democratic order and pushing PPP support lower.
Jan 30 2026
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%3%
A court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison related to his martial law declaration, confirming his political downfall and strengthening the Democratic Party's position. This verdict caused the Democratic Party of Korea's market price to rise sharply from 92% to 95%, while the People Power Party's price dropped from 7% to 2%.
Jan 30 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) drops to 3%5%
Prosecutors formally requested the maximum penalty for ex‑President Yoon Suk‑yeol, intensifying public backlash against the conservative People Power Party and rallying support for the ruling Democratic Party ahead of the local elections.
Jan 22 2026
President Lee Jae‑Myung returns to the Blue House for the first time since 2022
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%4%
Lee’s symbolic move back to the traditional presidential palace signaled a consolidation of liberal power and a break from his predecessor’s controversial tenure, bolstering confidence in the Democratic Party’s prospects in the upcoming local elections.
Jan 21 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 93%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law declaration, reinforcing the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's allies. This event increased market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea from 92% to 93% and decreased the People Power Party's price from 8% to 7%.
Jan 13 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 92%1%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection via martial law in December 2024, signaling severe legal jeopardy for the conservative figure and negatively impacting the People Power Party's market position while bolstering the Democratic Party's prospects.
Jan 9 2026
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%1%
Prosecutors requested the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection, highlighting the severity of his legal troubles and diminishing his political standing. This development bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, which opposed Yoon, causing its market price to rise from 90% to 91% and the People Power Party's price to fall from 9% to 8%.
Dec 19 2025
Reform Party and Progressive Party remain at record lows
Reform Party (RP) dips to 0%1%
By mid-December, the Reform Party and Progressive Party failed to gain traction, with their market shares remaining at 1%, indicating that voters were largely ignoring these smaller parties in favor of the Democratic Party.
Dec 11 2025
Rebuilding Korea Party experiences volatility amid political realignment
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 1%2%
The Rebuilding Korea Party saw a brief spike in interest followed by a decline, reflecting the broader instability and consolidation of the political landscape as voters gravitated toward the established Democratic Party.
Dec 7 2025
Democratic Party gains as scandal‑hit parties tumble
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 87%3%
Amid the escalating legal crisis for Yoon and his allies, public opinion polls showed a surge in support for the Democratic Party of Korea, lifting its market price toward the 90% range.
Dec 6 2025
Court sentences former President Yoon to five years for martial‑law decree
People Power Party (PPP) rises to 13%4%
A Seoul court handed former President Yoon a five‑year prison term for his role in the December 2024 martial‑law episode, cementing the legal fallout and prompting further erosion of support for the PPP and its allied minor parties.
Dec 4 2025
Constitutional Court removes police chief for martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 9%1%
The Constitutional Court formally removed Police Chief Cho Ji‑ho for his role in supporting Yoon’s illegal martial‑law deployment, further implicating the PPP‑aligned security apparatus and deepening voter backlash against the party.
Dec 4 2025
Democratic Party of Korea gains momentum as opposition struggles
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
As the People Power Party and other minor parties faced a collapse in support following the legal developments against Yoon, the Democratic Party of Korea saw its market share rise, reflecting its strengthened position as the dominant political force.
Dec 2 2025
Prosecutors seek death penalty for ex‑President Yoon over martial‑law rebellion
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 10%40%
South Korean prosecutors filed a request for a death sentence against former President Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges related to his December 2024 martial‑law decree, intensifying the scandal surrounding the conservative People Power Party.
Dec 2 2025
South Korean prosecutor seeks death sentence for ex-leader Yoon over martial law decree
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
The demand for the death penalty against former President Yoon Suk Yeol intensified the political crisis for the conservative People Power Party, causing its market share to drop sharply as the public and political establishment distanced themselves from the former leader.
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)" at 98%, followed by "Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP)" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" is "Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Partido do Poder do Povo (PPP)" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.5 million traded on “Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)" in the "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "Partido Democrático da Coreia (DP)" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Eleições locais sul-coreanas de 2026: vencedor do partido." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions