President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment proceedings before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stands little chance of advancing to a plenary vote or Constitutional Court review given party control of the chamber. Local elections that month delivered the ruling party most metropolitan and provincial wins despite a narrow opposition victory in Seoul, while approval ratings have declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy debates without triggering organized cross-party action. These institutional and political realities underpin trader expectations that removal remains unlikely absent major new developments capable of shifting legislative alignments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung sofreu impeachment antes de 2027?
Sim
10% chance
$21,566 Vol.
$21,566 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
10% chance
$21,566 Vol.
$21,566 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment proceedings before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stands little chance of advancing to a plenary vote or Constitutional Court review given party control of the chamber. Local elections that month delivered the ruling party most metropolitan and provincial wins despite a narrow opposition victory in Seoul, while approval ratings have declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy debates without triggering organized cross-party action. These institutional and political realities underpin trader expectations that removal remains unlikely absent major new developments capable of shifting legislative alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,566Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment proceedings before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stands little chance of advancing to a plenary vote or Constitutional Court review given party control of the chamber. Local elections that month delivered the ruling party most metropolitan and provincial wins despite a narrow opposition victory in Seoul, while approval ratings have declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy debates without triggering organized cross-party action. These institutional and political realities underpin trader expectations that removal remains unlikely absent major new developments capable of shifting legislative alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,566Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a legislative majority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a high procedural barrier to impeachment proceedings before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures yet stands little chance of advancing to a plenary vote or Constitutional Court review given party control of the chamber. Local elections that month delivered the ruling party most metropolitan and provincial wins despite a narrow opposition victory in Seoul, while approval ratings have declined to the low 40s amid housing and tax policy debates without triggering organized cross-party action. These institutional and political realities underpin trader expectations that removal remains unlikely absent major new developments capable of shifting legislative alignments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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