Current forecast models from major centers point to overnight lows near 15–16°C in Ankara on August 22, with trader consensus tightly clustered because radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds is expected to bring minimum temperatures close to dew-point values of 10–12°C. The Anatolian plateau’s elevation near 900 m supports efficient nocturnal heat loss, while stable high-pressure conditions limit cloud cover or moisture advection that could moderate the drop. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any light breeze account for the near-even split between the 15°C and 16°C outcomes, with 17°C remaining plausible if winds stay marginally stronger. Updated runs from global ensembles will clarify whether subtle shifts in the 500 hPa ridge alter the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Ancara em 22 de agosto?
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
17°C 27%
13°C 22%
12°C or below
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
8%
15°C
36%
16°C
38%
17°C
27%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 38%
15°C 36%
17°C 27%
13°C 22%
12°C or below
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
8%
15°C
36%
16°C
38%
17°C
27%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from major centers point to overnight lows near 15–16°C in Ankara on August 22, with trader consensus tightly clustered because radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds is expected to bring minimum temperatures close to dew-point values of 10–12°C. The Anatolian plateau’s elevation near 900 m supports efficient nocturnal heat loss, while stable high-pressure conditions limit cloud cover or moisture advection that could moderate the drop. Slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any light breeze account for the near-even split between the 15°C and 16°C outcomes, with 17°C remaining plausible if winds stay marginally stronger. Updated runs from global ensembles will clarify whether subtle shifts in the 500 hPa ridge alter the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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