The closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 18 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 99%
25°C ou mais 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C ou menos
99%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou mais
98%
15°C ou menos 99%
25°C ou mais 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C ou menos
99%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely balanced market odds between a sub-15°C low and one at or above 25°C on September 18 stem primarily from short-term uncertainty in Chongqing’s ongoing Hua Xi autumn rain period, initiated around September 15 by a shear line and low-level jet. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall through the 17th–18th moderate daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling, with model consensus currently pointing to minima near 18–22°C amid variable wind and moisture patterns. Historical September lows average around 21°C, but rapid shifts in cloud breaks or frontal timing could alter outcomes. Fresh runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF are expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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