**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models point to an overnight low in Denver on September 2, 2026, near 60–63 °F, driving the 60–61 °F bin to a 55 % market-implied probability.** Persistent warm air advection, partly cloudy skies, and light southerly winds have limited radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures above the climatological average low of 54.5 °F. Recent NWS guidance and station observations through midday show highs in the mid-80s to near 90 °F with only isolated evening thunderstorm chances, further supporting minimal overnight temperature drops. Traders are weighting these official model runs and real-time surface observations heavily, while the 40–45 % probabilities assigned to the 53 °F-or-below through 58–59 °F bins reflect residual uncertainty around exact clearing timing and any localized cooling in outlying areas. Higher bins remain near zero as current conditions show no pathway to warmer minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Denver no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Denver no dia 2 de setembro?
58-59°F 90%
53°F ou menos 89%
56-57°F 89%
54-55°F 80%
$494 Vol.
$494 Vol.
2 set 2026
53°F ou menos
89%
54-55°F
80%
56-57°F
89%
58-59°F
90%
60-61°F
-
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72°F ou mais
<1%
58-59°F 90%
53°F ou menos 89%
56-57°F 89%
54-55°F 80%
$494 Vol.
$494 Vol.
2 set 2026
53°F ou menos
$35 Vol.
89%
54-55°F
$22 Vol.
80%
56-57°F
$12 Vol.
89%
58-59°F
$17 Vol.
90%
60-61°F
$12 Vol.
-
62-63°F
$64 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$64 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$74 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
72°F ou mais
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models point to an overnight low in Denver on September 2, 2026, near 60–63 °F, driving the 60–61 °F bin to a 55 % market-implied probability.**
Persistent warm air advection, partly cloudy skies, and light southerly winds have limited radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures above the climatological average low of 54.5 °F. Recent NWS guidance and station observations through midday show highs in the mid-80s to near 90 °F with only isolated evening thunderstorm chances, further supporting minimal overnight temperature drops.
Traders are weighting these official model runs and real-time surface observations heavily, while the 40–45 % probabilities assigned to the 53 °F-or-below through 58–59 °F bins reflect residual uncertainty around exact clearing timing and any localized cooling in outlying areas. Higher bins remain near zero as current conditions show no pathway to warmer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$494Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models point to an overnight low in Denver on September 2, 2026, near 60–63 °F, driving the 60–61 °F bin to a 55 % market-implied probability.**
Persistent warm air advection, partly cloudy skies, and light southerly winds have limited radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures above the climatological average low of 54.5 °F. Recent NWS guidance and station observations through midday show highs in the mid-80s to near 90 °F with only isolated evening thunderstorm chances, further supporting minimal overnight temperature drops.
Traders are weighting these official model runs and real-time surface observations heavily, while the 40–45 % probabilities assigned to the 53 °F-or-below through 58–59 °F bins reflect residual uncertainty around exact clearing timing and any localized cooling in outlying areas. Higher bins remain near zero as current conditions show no pathway to warmer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$494Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models point to an overnight low in Denver on September 2, 2026, near 60–63 °F, driving the 60–61 °F bin to a 55 % market-implied probability.** Persistent warm air advection, partly cloudy skies, and light southerly winds have limited radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures above the climatological average low of 54.5 °F. Recent NWS guidance and station observations through midday show highs in the mid-80s to near 90 °F with only isolated evening thunderstorm chances, further supporting minimal overnight temperature drops. Traders are weighting these official model runs and real-time surface observations heavily, while the 40–45 % probabilities assigned to the 53 °F-or-below through 58–59 °F bins reflect residual uncertainty around exact clearing timing and any localized cooling in outlying areas. Higher bins remain near zero as current conditions show no pathway to warmer minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions