Recent atmospheric patterns, including persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover over the region, have driven model consensus toward milder overnight lows near 23–25°C for Istanbul on August 26, supporting the market's leading 25°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 18–22°C, but recent days with similar setups recorded lows around 19–20°C, with Black Sea marine influences and light winds moderating radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential shifts from updated NOAA or ECMWF runs, while extremes below 18°C or above 27°C remain low-probability given current stability and seasonal baselines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul em 26 de agosto?
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
21°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
4%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
1%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
86%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
21°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
$70 Vol.
4%
18°C
$15 Vol.
50%
19°C
$15 Vol.
50%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$120 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover over the region, have driven model consensus toward milder overnight lows near 23–25°C for Istanbul on August 26, supporting the market's leading 25°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 18–22°C, but recent days with similar setups recorded lows around 19–20°C, with Black Sea marine influences and light winds moderating radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential shifts from updated NOAA or ECMWF runs, while extremes below 18°C or above 27°C remain low-probability given current stability and seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$370Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover over the region, have driven model consensus toward milder overnight lows near 23–25°C for Istanbul on August 26, supporting the market's leading 25°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 18–22°C, but recent days with similar setups recorded lows around 19–20°C, with Black Sea marine influences and light winds moderating radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential shifts from updated NOAA or ECMWF runs, while extremes below 18°C or above 27°C remain low-probability given current stability and seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$370Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric patterns, including persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover over the region, have driven model consensus toward milder overnight lows near 23–25°C for Istanbul on August 26, supporting the market's leading 25°C outcome at 43% implied probability. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 18–22°C, but recent days with similar setups recorded lows around 19–20°C, with Black Sea marine influences and light winds moderating radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential shifts from updated NOAA or ECMWF runs, while extremes below 18°C or above 27°C remain low-probability given current stability and seasonal baselines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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