Recent numerical weather models indicate a most likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 8, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under the influence of the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea. These conditions produce limited temperature drops compared with clear, calm nights, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima relative to surrounding rural areas. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 18–22°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs from global and regional models, available overnight and early on the 8th, will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Istambul no dia 8 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 69%
18°C 50%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
16°C ou menos
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
19%
26°C ou mais
69%
26°C ou mais 69%
18°C 50%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$12 Vol.
19%
17°C
$12 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$12 Vol.
19%
26°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate a most likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 8, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under the influence of the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea. These conditions produce limited temperature drops compared with clear, calm nights, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima relative to surrounding rural areas. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 18–22°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs from global and regional models, available overnight and early on the 8th, will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$37Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models indicate a most likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 8, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under the influence of the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea. These conditions produce limited temperature drops compared with clear, calm nights, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima relative to surrounding rural areas. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 18–22°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs from global and regional models, available overnight and early on the 8th, will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models indicate a most likely overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 8, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under the influence of the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea. These conditions produce limited temperature drops compared with clear, calm nights, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima relative to surrounding rural areas. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 18–22°C outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs from global and regional models, available overnight and early on the 8th, will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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