**Strong model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned forecasts and regional meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 30°C in Jeddah on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for that outcome.** Recent observations show minimum temperatures in the 28–31°C range through early September amid stable high-pressure conditions, typical humidity levels near 50–70%, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. This positioning reflects traders incorporating real-time data from stations like King Abdulaziz International Airport, where dew points around 25–26°C support gradual overnight declines without rapid drops. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could push the low to 29°C or below, while clearer skies or higher humidity might hold it at 31°C, though current ensemble runs assign low likelihood to those deviations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 10 de setembro?
30°C 99%
27°C 4.0%
28°C 3%
24°C ou menos <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
-
30°C
99%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 99%
27°C 4.0%
28°C 3%
24°C ou menos <1%
$1,093 Vol.
$1,093 Vol.
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
-
30°C
99%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from sources including NOAA-aligned forecasts and regional meteorological agencies points to an overnight low of 30°C in Jeddah on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market's 93% implied probability for that outcome.** Recent observations show minimum temperatures in the 28–31°C range through early September amid stable high-pressure conditions, typical humidity levels near 50–70%, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. This positioning reflects traders incorporating real-time data from stations like King Abdulaziz International Airport, where dew points around 25–26°C support gradual overnight declines without rapid drops. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could push the low to 29°C or below, while clearer skies or higher humidity might hold it at 31°C, though current ensemble runs assign low likelihood to those deviations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions