Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Jeddah's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely settle near 29–31°C, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light variable winds, and urban heat retention that limits nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–29°C but current runs trend slightly warmer. Trader consensus at 31°C (48.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while elevated odds on 24°C or below (38%) price in potential forecast revisions or localized sea-breeze effects. Upcoming NHC-equivalent regional updates and final observational data before resolution will determine any shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 12 de setembro?
24°C ou menos 78%
34°C ou mais 73%
31°C 49%
30°C 40%
24°C ou menos
78%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
21%
30°C
40%
31°C
49%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C ou mais
73%
24°C ou menos 78%
34°C ou mais 73%
31°C 49%
30°C 40%
24°C ou menos
78%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
21%
30°C
40%
31°C
49%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C ou mais
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Jeddah's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely settle near 29–31°C, driven by persistent Red Sea humidity, light variable winds, and urban heat retention that limits nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–29°C but current runs trend slightly warmer. Trader consensus at 31°C (48.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while elevated odds on 24°C or below (38%) price in potential forecast revisions or localized sea-breeze effects. Upcoming NHC-equivalent regional updates and final observational data before resolution will determine any shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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