**Forecast consensus from numerical models positions 19–20°C as the most likely maximum for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026.** Multiple runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a daytime peak near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and only a low (around 10%) chance of light precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C for the date, where typical conditions feature mild Atlantic airflow without strong ridging or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because recent model agreement has remained stable, with limited spread in projected afternoon temperatures once cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing are accounted for. Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with updated observational data or shifts in low-level moisture, but current evidence supports a narrow range centered on 19–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 10 de setembro?
19°C 54%
20°C 39%
18°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOVO
$15,752 Vol.
NOVO
$15,752 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
54%
20°C
39%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 54%
20°C 39%
18°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOVO
$15,752 Vol.
NOVO
$15,752 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$398 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,107 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,748 Vol.
6%
19°C
$5,042 Vol.
54%
20°C
$3,869 Vol.
39%
21°C
$1,914 Vol.
4%
22°C
$333 Vol.
1%
23°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical models positions 19–20°C as the most likely maximum for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026.** Multiple runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a daytime peak near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and only a low (around 10%) chance of light precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C for the date, where typical conditions feature mild Atlantic airflow without strong ridging or cold advection.
Trader-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because recent model agreement has remained stable, with limited spread in projected afternoon temperatures once cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing are accounted for. Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with updated observational data or shifts in low-level moisture, but current evidence supports a narrow range centered on 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,752Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical models positions 19–20°C as the most likely maximum for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026.** Multiple runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a daytime peak near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and only a low (around 10%) chance of light precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C for the date, where typical conditions feature mild Atlantic airflow without strong ridging or cold advection.
Trader-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because recent model agreement has remained stable, with limited spread in projected afternoon temperatures once cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing are accounted for. Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with updated observational data or shifts in low-level moisture, but current evidence supports a narrow range centered on 19–20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,752Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical models positions 19–20°C as the most likely maximum for Amsterdam on September 10, 2026.** Multiple runs, including GFS-based guidance, indicate a daytime peak near 19°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and only a low (around 10%) chance of light precipitation. This aligns with the climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C for the date, where typical conditions feature mild Atlantic airflow without strong ridging or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because recent model agreement has remained stable, with limited spread in projected afternoon temperatures once cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing are accounted for. Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with updated observational data or shifts in low-level moisture, but current evidence supports a narrow range centered on 19–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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