**Trader sentiment reflects acute uncertainty in overnight cooling amid Southern California's ongoing heat wave, with NWS guidance showing lows near 68–73°F at coastal and downtown sites but potential for greater marine layer intrusion or persistent downslope warming.** Strong high pressure and elevated 850 hPa temperatures favor warmer minima above 70°F, supporting the near-even odds between the 63°F-or-below and 82°F-or-higher bins, while variable sea-breeze strength, patchy fog potential, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture create realistic pathways to either cooler coastal advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Historical August lows average 66°F with low variability, so the market-implied balance underscores how small forecast shifts in wind or stratus coverage could swing the official minimum across resolution thresholds. Updated NWS and ensemble runs ahead of the 25th will likely tighten these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 25 de agosto?
82°F ou mais 86%
63°F ou menos 45%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 34%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
63°F ou menos
45%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
36%
82°F ou mais
86%
82°F ou mais 86%
63°F ou menos 45%
80-81°F 36%
76-77°F 34%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
63°F ou menos
$130 Vol.
45%
64-65°F
$65 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$36 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$31 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
27%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$879 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$84 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$135 Vol.
36%
82°F ou mais
$265 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects acute uncertainty in overnight cooling amid Southern California's ongoing heat wave, with NWS guidance showing lows near 68–73°F at coastal and downtown sites but potential for greater marine layer intrusion or persistent downslope warming.**
Strong high pressure and elevated 850 hPa temperatures favor warmer minima above 70°F, supporting the near-even odds between the 63°F-or-below and 82°F-or-higher bins, while variable sea-breeze strength, patchy fog potential, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture create realistic pathways to either cooler coastal advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Historical August lows average 66°F with low variability, so the market-implied balance underscores how small forecast shifts in wind or stratus coverage could swing the official minimum across resolution thresholds. Updated NWS and ensemble runs ahead of the 25th will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,632Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects acute uncertainty in overnight cooling amid Southern California's ongoing heat wave, with NWS guidance showing lows near 68–73°F at coastal and downtown sites but potential for greater marine layer intrusion or persistent downslope warming.**
Strong high pressure and elevated 850 hPa temperatures favor warmer minima above 70°F, supporting the near-even odds between the 63°F-or-below and 82°F-or-higher bins, while variable sea-breeze strength, patchy fog potential, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture create realistic pathways to either cooler coastal advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Historical August lows average 66°F with low variability, so the market-implied balance underscores how small forecast shifts in wind or stratus coverage could swing the official minimum across resolution thresholds. Updated NWS and ensemble runs ahead of the 25th will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,632Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment reflects acute uncertainty in overnight cooling amid Southern California's ongoing heat wave, with NWS guidance showing lows near 68–73°F at coastal and downtown sites but potential for greater marine layer intrusion or persistent downslope warming.** Strong high pressure and elevated 850 hPa temperatures favor warmer minima above 70°F, supporting the near-even odds between the 63°F-or-below and 82°F-or-higher bins, while variable sea-breeze strength, patchy fog potential, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture create realistic pathways to either cooler coastal advection or suppressed radiational cooling. Historical August lows average 66°F with low variability, so the market-implied balance underscores how small forecast shifts in wind or stratus coverage could swing the official minimum across resolution thresholds. Updated NWS and ensemble runs ahead of the 25th will likely tighten these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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