Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 11°C in Moscow on September 21, with daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies, possible light rain, and southerly winds of 7–12 m/s. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, calm nights, supporting minimums in the 11–14°C range rather than the historical September average low near 7°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight temperatures, though Moscow region outskirts could dip to 8°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between the 14°C and 8°C-or-below outcomes due to uncertainty in exact station readings and local variations. Final official minimum observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 21 de setembro?
8°C ou menos 100%
11°C 97%
14°C 51%
13°C 49%
8°C ou menos
100%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
97%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
8°C ou menos 100%
11°C 97%
14°C 51%
13°C 49%
8°C ou menos
100%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
97%
12°C
48%
13°C
49%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime minimum near 11°C in Moscow on September 21, with daytime highs of 20–22°C under cloudy skies, possible light rain, and southerly winds of 7–12 m/s. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clear, calm nights, supporting minimums in the 11–14°C range rather than the historical September average low near 7°C. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on overnight temperatures, though Moscow region outskirts could dip to 8°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between the 14°C and 8°C-or-below outcomes due to uncertainty in exact station readings and local variations. Final official minimum observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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