Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. This central tendency keeps the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes balanced near 50% in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could push the nocturnal low several degrees either way. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.1°C for the date, with the current pattern lacking strong cold-air advection that would favor extremes. Key resolution variables include the precise hour of minimum occurrence and any localized clearing that enhances surface cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts for market movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 4 de setembro?
6°C ou menos 100%
16°C ou mais 100%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
6°C ou menos
100%
7°C
90%
8°C
90%
9°C
90%
10°C
90%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
90%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C ou mais
100%
6°C ou menos 100%
16°C ou mais 100%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
90%
9°C
$0 Vol.
90%
10°C
$0 Vol.
90%
11°C
$0 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
90%
14°C
$0 Vol.
90%
15°C
$0 Vol.
90%
16°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. This central tendency keeps the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes balanced near 50% in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could push the nocturnal low several degrees either way. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.1°C for the date, with the current pattern lacking strong cold-air advection that would favor extremes. Key resolution variables include the precise hour of minimum occurrence and any localized clearing that enhances surface cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. This central tendency keeps the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes balanced near 50% in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could push the nocturnal low several degrees either way. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.1°C for the date, with the current pattern lacking strong cold-air advection that would favor extremes. Key resolution variables include the precise hour of minimum occurrence and any localized clearing that enhances surface cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Moscow on September 4, driven by mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling overnight. This central tendency keeps the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher outcomes balanced near 50% in trader pricing, as small shifts in frontal timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could push the nocturnal low several degrees either way. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.1°C for the date, with the current pattern lacking strong cold-air advection that would favor extremes. Key resolution variables include the precise hour of minimum occurrence and any localized clearing that enhances surface cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours remain the primary catalysts for market movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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