Recent forecasts from European models and agencies like the German Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 22 centering around 11–13°C amid cooling seasonal trends and variable cloud cover from passing showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighing subtle differences in wind patterns, humidity, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies versus increased cloudiness. Historical August baselines show typical minimums near 12–14°C, but late-summer variability from Atlantic influences can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could refine the consensus before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique em 22 de agosto?
11°C 35%
12°C 33%
13°C 28%
16°C or higher 22%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
6%
9°C
9%
10°C
20%
11°C
35%
12°C
33%
13°C
28%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
22%
11°C 35%
12°C 33%
13°C 28%
16°C or higher 22%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
6%
9°C
9%
10°C
20%
11°C
35%
12°C
33%
13°C
28%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models and agencies like the German Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 22 centering around 11–13°C amid cooling seasonal trends and variable cloud cover from passing showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with traders weighing subtle differences in wind patterns, humidity, and radiative cooling under partly clear skies versus increased cloudiness. Historical August baselines show typical minimums near 12–14°C, but late-summer variability from Atlantic influences can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could refine the consensus before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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