The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 14 de agosto?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
14 ago 2026
63°F ou menos
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Não
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 Vol.
$13,380 Vol.
14 ago 2026
63°F ou menos
$301 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$321 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$704 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$2,226 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$1,487 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$1,916 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$2,733 Vol.
Sim
76-77°F
$1,498 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$738 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$758 Vol.
Não
82°F ou mais
$698 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,380Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,380Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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