Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao on August 26 highlights a potential dip in overnight lows driven by persistent northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, increased cloud cover, and marine influence moderating radiative cooling. Official outlooks from sources like BBC Weather and local models currently indicate minimums near 24–26°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 23°C amid high humidity and occasional showers. Trader positioning favoring 22°C or below at 43.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model consensus on sea-breeze strength and any strengthening trough, while clustered probabilities around 24–26°C capture the most likely range under typical coastal conditions. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine these thresholds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Qingdao em 26 de agosto?
22°C ou menos 86%
29°C 49%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
22°C ou menos
86%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
49%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
1%
22°C ou menos 86%
29°C 49%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
22°C ou menos
86%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
49%
30°C
13%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Qingdao on August 26 highlights a potential dip in overnight lows driven by persistent northeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, increased cloud cover, and marine influence moderating radiative cooling. Official outlooks from sources like BBC Weather and local models currently indicate minimums near 24–26°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 23°C amid high humidity and occasional showers. Trader positioning favoring 22°C or below at 43.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in model consensus on sea-breeze strength and any strengthening trough, while clustered probabilities around 24–26°C capture the most likely range under typical coastal conditions. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine these thresholds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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