Current meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11, aligning with the market's dominant 99.1% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average overnight lows range 18–21°C amid moderating Pacific influences, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 25–27°C with minimal deviation expected overnight. While consensus remains strong, modest shifts could arise from unforecasted frontal passages, heavier localized rainfall, or station-specific measurement differences, though such changes appear unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 11 de junho?
18°C 99.0%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 Vol.
$19,056 Vol.
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 99.0%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 Vol.
$19,056 Vol.
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11, aligning with the market's dominant 99.1% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average overnight lows range 18–21°C amid moderating Pacific influences, moderate humidity, and mostly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 25–27°C with minimal deviation expected overnight. While consensus remains strong, modest shifts could arise from unforecasted frontal passages, heavier localized rainfall, or station-specific measurement differences, though such changes appear unlikely given stable atmospheric patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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