Netanyahu remains firmly committed to leading Likud in the October 27 Knesset election, with no announcements or credible signals of withdrawal as the September 30 deadline approaches. Recent polls show his bloc hovering near or below 51-54 seats amid competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance, yet he has publicly campaigned, addressed Likud events, and privately affirmed plans to serve as opposition leader if needed rather than exit politics. Candidate lists were finalized in early September, and surplus-vote agreements among right-wing parties continue, reflecting sustained organizational focus. Traders price the low probability of a last-minute dropout given these consistent actions and the absence of structural barriers like term limits or health developments that would alter his path.