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Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

icon for Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?
Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Chuck Schumer 24%

John Thune 22%

Tom Cotton 16.9%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$62,729 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 24%

John Thune 22%

Tom Cotton 16.9%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$62,729 Vol.

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,845 Vol.

24%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$2,183 Vol.

22%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,533 Vol.

17%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,262 Vol.

10%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$2,953 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$2,839 Vol.

5%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$21,626 Vol.

4%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,022 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$2,394 Vol.

3%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$2,040 Vol.

2%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,032 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with Republicans at 54% implied probability to hold their slim majority despite Democrats' consistent 5-6 point edge in recent generic ballot polls like Ipsos and YouGov from early May. This keeps current Minority Leader Chuck Schumer slightly ahead at 25%, positioned for a flip needing just three net gains amid battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia, where primary polls show competitive fields. Incumbent Majority Leader John Thune trails closely at 21.5% thanks to the GOP-favorable map defending safer red states, while Tom Cotton's 16.9% reflects his rising profile amid reported Trump pressures on leadership. Ongoing primaries through summer and emerging general matchups in toss-ups could widen separations before party caucuses select leaders for the 120th Congress.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$62,729
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with Republicans at 54% implied probability to hold their slim majority despite Democrats' consistent 5-6 point edge in recent generic ballot polls like Ipsos and YouGov from early May. This keeps current Minority Leader Chuck Schumer slightly ahead at 25%, positioned for a flip needing just three net gains amid battlegrounds like Michigan and Georgia, where primary polls show competitive fields. Incumbent Majority Leader John Thune trails closely at 21.5% thanks to the GOP-favorable map defending safer red states, while Tom Cotton's 16.9% reflects his rising profile amid reported Trump pressures on leadership. Ongoing primaries through summer and emerging general matchups in toss-ups could widen separations before party caucuses select leaders for the 120th Congress.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$62,729
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Schumer" at 24%, followed by "John Thune" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" has generated $62.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is "Chuck Schumer" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.