The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC effective May 1, 2026, removes approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from the cartel's reported crude oil production totals as measured by secondary sources, dramatically lowering the May average from April's 20.18 million bpd baseline. This shift overshadows modest output quota adjustments announced by OPEC+ on April 5—adding 206,000 bpd starting May from eight producers including Saudi Arabia and Iraq—and a further 188,000 bpd hike for June agreed May 3 by seven members, aimed at market stability amid voluntary cuts and overproduction compensation. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have constrained actual supply despite high crude prices near $108 per barrel. Traders await the June 11 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's Table 5-7 for definitive May data, with the next Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting on June 7 potentially signaling further tweaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
11 jun 2026
18 Million
17%
19 Million
30%
20 Million
24%
21 Million
11%
$3,644 Vol.
18 Million
$550 Vol.
17%
19 Million
$1,093 Vol.
30%
20 Million
$1,077 Vol.
24%
21 Million
$924 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC effective May 1, 2026, removes approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from the cartel's reported crude oil production totals as measured by secondary sources, dramatically lowering the May average from April's 20.18 million bpd baseline. This shift overshadows modest output quota adjustments announced by OPEC+ on April 5—adding 206,000 bpd starting May from eight producers including Saudi Arabia and Iraq—and a further 188,000 bpd hike for June agreed May 3 by seven members, aimed at market stability amid voluntary cuts and overproduction compensation. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have constrained actual supply despite high crude prices near $108 per barrel. Traders await the June 11 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's Table 5-7 for definitive May data, with the next Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting on June 7 potentially signaling further tweaks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,644Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC effective May 1, 2026, removes approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from the cartel's reported crude oil production totals as measured by secondary sources, dramatically lowering the May average from April's 20.18 million bpd baseline. This shift overshadows modest output quota adjustments announced by OPEC+ on April 5—adding 206,000 bpd starting May from eight producers including Saudi Arabia and Iraq—and a further 188,000 bpd hike for June agreed May 3 by seven members, aimed at market stability amid voluntary cuts and overproduction compensation. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have constrained actual supply despite high crude prices near $108 per barrel. Traders await the June 11 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's Table 5-7 for definitive May data, with the next Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting on June 7 potentially signaling further tweaks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$3,644Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United Arab Emirates' exit from OPEC effective May 1, 2026, removes approximately 3.4 million barrels per day from the cartel's reported crude oil production totals as measured by secondary sources, dramatically lowering the May average from April's 20.18 million bpd baseline. This shift overshadows modest output quota adjustments announced by OPEC+ on April 5—adding 206,000 bpd starting May from eight producers including Saudi Arabia and Iraq—and a further 188,000 bpd hike for June agreed May 3 by seven members, aimed at market stability amid voluntary cuts and overproduction compensation. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, have constrained actual supply despite high crude prices near $108 per barrel. Traders await the June 11 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's Table 5-7 for definitive May data, with the next Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting on June 7 potentially signaling further tweaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions