**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and signaling extraordinary audience demand for the fourth Tom Holland-led entry. Strong critical reception (around 90% on major aggregators) and euphoric word-of-mouth have fueled rapid early totals, with the film already at roughly $449 million domestically after its first week while posting the fastest $400 million domestic milestone and the highest single Tuesday ever. With minimal competition through late August and proven franchise legs in prior installments, traders see a clear path past $900 million by month-end, as the current trajectory supports sustained multi-hundred-million-dollar gains over the remaining three-plus weeks. The market-implied 78% probability on 900m+ reflects this momentum, tempered only by the inherent uncertainty of how sharply daily holds may drop after the initial surge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
900M+ 78.3%
800 - 900 milhões 19%
700 - 800 milhões 2.7%
600 - 700 milhões <1%
$333,022 Vol.
$333,022 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
1%
700 - 800 milhões
3%
800 - 900 milhões
19%
900M+
78%
900M+ 78.3%
800 - 900 milhões 19%
700 - 800 milhões 2.7%
600 - 700 milhões <1%
$333,022 Vol.
$333,022 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
$19,327 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
$24,674 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
$24,653 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 milhões
$22,347 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 milhões
$36,604 Vol.
19%
900M+
$199,593 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and signaling extraordinary audience demand for the fourth Tom Holland-led entry. Strong critical reception (around 90% on major aggregators) and euphoric word-of-mouth have fueled rapid early totals, with the film already at roughly $449 million domestically after its first week while posting the fastest $400 million domestic milestone and the highest single Tuesday ever. With minimal competition through late August and proven franchise legs in prior installments, traders see a clear path past $900 million by month-end, as the current trajectory supports sustained multi-hundred-million-dollar gains over the remaining three-plus weeks. The market-implied 78% probability on 900m+ reflects this momentum, tempered only by the inherent uncertainty of how sharply daily holds may drop after the initial surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$333,022Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and signaling extraordinary audience demand for the fourth Tom Holland-led entry. Strong critical reception (around 90% on major aggregators) and euphoric word-of-mouth have fueled rapid early totals, with the film already at roughly $449 million domestically after its first week while posting the fastest $400 million domestic milestone and the highest single Tuesday ever. With minimal competition through late August and proven franchise legs in prior installments, traders see a clear path past $900 million by month-end, as the current trajectory supports sustained multi-hundred-million-dollar gains over the remaining three-plus weeks. The market-implied 78% probability on 900m+ reflects this momentum, tempered only by the inherent uncertainty of how sharply daily holds may drop after the initial surge.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$333,022Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and signaling extraordinary audience demand for the fourth Tom Holland-led entry. Strong critical reception (around 90% on major aggregators) and euphoric word-of-mouth have fueled rapid early totals, with the film already at roughly $449 million domestically after its first week while posting the fastest $400 million domestic milestone and the highest single Tuesday ever. With minimal competition through late August and proven franchise legs in prior installments, traders see a clear path past $900 million by month-end, as the current trajectory supports sustained multi-hundred-million-dollar gains over the remaining three-plus weeks. The market-implied 78% probability on 900m+ reflects this momentum, tempered only by the inherent uncertainty of how sharply daily holds may drop after the initial surge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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