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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava

Eva Nemčovská 44%

Branislav Baroš 30%

Andrea Čajková 6%

Ľubica Horváthová 5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Eva Nemčovská 44%

Branislav Baroš 30%

Andrea Čajková 6%

Ľubica Horváthová 5%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Eva Nemčovská

Eva Nemčovská

$75 Vol.

44%

icon for Branislav Baroš

Branislav Baroš

$990 Vol.

30%

icon for Andrea Čajková

Andrea Čajková

$57 Vol.

6%

icon for Ľubica Horváthová

Ľubica Horváthová

$56 Vol.

5%

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The open mayoral race in Trnava, Slovakia, scheduled for October 24, 2026, features a fragmented field after incumbent Peter Bročka opted not to seek another term. Vice-mayor Eva Nemčovská, running independently under the Lepšia Trnava banner, holds the highest implied probability among named contenders, followed by Branislav Baroš backed by the Trnava pre každého and KDH coalition. Additional candidates include Ľubica Horváthová of Demokrati, Andrea Čajková of the Trnava+ initiative, and Martin Pullmann, the late-August nominee of a four-party grouping of Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. Multiple other local figures and platforms are also contesting. This broad split, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited recent polling, sustains tight probabilities as voters weigh continuity on development and services against alternative local priorities.

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,179
Data de Término
24 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://volby.statistics.sk/
The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The open mayoral race in Trnava, Slovakia, scheduled for October 24, 2026, features a fragmented field after incumbent Peter Bročka opted not to seek another term. Vice-mayor Eva Nemčovská, running independently under the Lepšia Trnava banner, holds the highest implied probability among named contenders, followed by Branislav Baroš backed by the Trnava pre každého and KDH coalition. Additional candidates include Ľubica Horváthová of Demokrati, Andrea Čajková of the Trnava+ initiative, and Martin Pullmann, the late-August nominee of a four-party grouping of Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. Multiple other local figures and platforms are also contesting. This broad split, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited recent polling, sustains tight probabilities as voters weigh continuity on development and services against alternative local priorities.

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$1,179
Data de Término
24 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eva Nemčovská" at 44%, followed by "Branislav Baroš" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava" is "Eva Nemčovská" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Branislav Baroš" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Trnava" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.