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icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard

Leanne Raw 32%

Kevin Hyland 25.5%

Mary Duniam 24.6%

Chloe Foster 3.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

Leanne Raw 32%

Kevin Hyland 25.5%

Mary Duniam 24.6%

Chloe Foster 3.5%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$2,083 Vol.

32%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$746 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election keeps trader consensus fragmented, with numerous candidates priced at 50% and Leanne Raw leading named contenders at 33% while Mary Duniam, Kevin Hyland, and Chloe Foster sit lower. Nominations open in days for the October vote, allowing additional entrants and sustaining uncertainty around incumbency status and council ticket dynamics. Recent statements from sitting councillors highlight competing local government experience and policy priorities, but no decisive endorsements or withdrawals have shifted positioning. This setup favors broad participation over early frontrunners, with outcomes hinging on final candidate lists and voter preferences in a compulsory local ballot.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,829
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open field for the Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election keeps trader consensus fragmented, with numerous candidates priced at 50% and Leanne Raw leading named contenders at 33% while Mary Duniam, Kevin Hyland, and Chloe Foster sit lower. Nominations open in days for the October vote, allowing additional entrants and sustaining uncertainty around incumbency status and council ticket dynamics. Recent statements from sitting councillors highlight competing local government experience and policy priorities, but no decisive endorsements or withdrawals have shifted positioning. This setup favors broad participation over early frontrunners, with outcomes hinging on final candidate lists and voter preferences in a compulsory local ballot.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,829
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Leanne Raw" at 33%, followed by "Kevin Hyland" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" is "Leanne Raw" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Hyland" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Waratah-Wynyard" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.