Anthropic’s recent releases of advanced large language models, including Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, have secured top rankings across major benchmarks for reasoning, agentic coding, and multi-step task performance, establishing a clear lead that traders interpret as sustained dominance through the end of May. These updates expanded context windows and introduced stronger autonomous workflow tools, widening the gap over competitors such as Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 in live evaluations and developer adoption metrics. With the resolution window closing in under two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect limited near-term catalysts capable of reversing this positioning, though an unexpected high-impact Gemini or GPT update before May 31 could still narrow the advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Vol.
$9,013,776 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,013,776 Vol.
$9,013,776 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
$678,720 Vol.
91%
$622,139 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$768,530 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$560,969 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$530,192 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$590,148 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$672,081 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,147 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases of advanced large language models, including Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, have secured top rankings across major benchmarks for reasoning, agentic coding, and multi-step task performance, establishing a clear lead that traders interpret as sustained dominance through the end of May. These updates expanded context windows and introduced stronger autonomous workflow tools, widening the gap over competitors such as Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 in live evaluations and developer adoption metrics. With the resolution window closing in under two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect limited near-term catalysts capable of reversing this positioning, though an unexpected high-impact Gemini or GPT update before May 31 could still narrow the advantage.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,013,776Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases of advanced large language models, including Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, have secured top rankings across major benchmarks for reasoning, agentic coding, and multi-step task performance, establishing a clear lead that traders interpret as sustained dominance through the end of May. These updates expanded context windows and introduced stronger autonomous workflow tools, widening the gap over competitors such as Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 in live evaluations and developer adoption metrics. With the resolution window closing in under two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect limited near-term catalysts capable of reversing this positioning, though an unexpected high-impact Gemini or GPT update before May 31 could still narrow the advantage.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$9,013,776Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent releases of advanced large language models, including Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, have secured top rankings across major benchmarks for reasoning, agentic coding, and multi-step task performance, establishing a clear lead that traders interpret as sustained dominance through the end of May. These updates expanded context windows and introduced stronger autonomous workflow tools, widening the gap over competitors such as Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 in live evaluations and developer adoption metrics. With the resolution window closing in under two weeks, the market-implied odds reflect limited near-term catalysts capable of reversing this positioning, though an unexpected high-impact Gemini or GPT update before May 31 could still narrow the advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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