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icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

Anthropic 50%

Nvidia 50%

MiniMax 50%

OpenAI 49%

Polymarket
NOVO

Anthropic 50%

Nvidia 50%

MiniMax 50%

OpenAI 49%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Meta

Meta

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Google

Google

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$0 Vol.

17%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$0 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of frontier large language models have kept LiveBench coding scores tightly clustered, with Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants trading narrow leads against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Google’s Gemini 3.5 updates in the latest refreshed tasks. Traders see comparable performance on agentic coding, multi-file refactoring, and execution accuracy, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and DeepSeek continue closing the gap on open-weight entries. The market’s flat 50 percent odds on multiple contenders reflect ongoing model refreshes, version-specific “high effort” modes, and the benchmark’s monthly question rotation that prevents any single lab from pulling decisively ahead before the August close.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$0
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of frontier large language models have kept LiveBench coding scores tightly clustered, with Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants trading narrow leads against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Google’s Gemini 3.5 updates in the latest refreshed tasks. Traders see comparable performance on agentic coding, multi-file refactoring, and execution accuracy, while Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and DeepSeek continue closing the gap on open-weight entries. The market’s flat 50 percent odds on multiple contenders reflect ongoing model refreshes, version-specific “high effort” modes, and the benchmark’s monthly question rotation that prevents any single lab from pulling decisively ahead before the August close.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$0
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 50%, followed by "Nvidia" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?" is "Anthropic" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nvidia" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.