Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Síria

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$798,159 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$798,159 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Líbano

Líbano

$115,313 Vol.

10%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$362,506 Vol.

10%

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$76,328 Vol.

8%

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$12,518 Vol.

7%

icon for Paquistão

Paquistão

$9,947 Vol.

5%

icon for Síria

Síria

$22,307 Vol.

5%

icon for Irã

Irã

$17,202 Vol.

4%

icon for Indonésia

Indonésia

$22,927 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$13,752 Vol.

4%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$19,389 Vol.

4%

icon for Coreia do Norte

Coreia do Norte

$20,667 Vol.

4%

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$14,624 Vol.

4%

icon for Afeganistão

Afeganistão

$21,045 Vol.

3%

icon for Malásia

Malásia

$13,654 Vol.

3%

icon for Catar

Catar

$39,110 Vol.

3%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$16,870 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization under frameworks like the Abraham Accords continues to shape prospects for formal state recognition of Israel, though no new recognitions have occurred in 2026. The most recent catalyst is the September 16 agreement between Israel and Morocco to elevate liaison offices to full embassies and appoint ambassadors by year-end, alongside expanded flights and economic pacts, building on their 2020 ties without altering recognition status. Broader efforts remain constrained by linkages to Palestinian statehood questions, regional defense arrangements, and positions of non-recognizing states such as Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and several Arab League or OIC members. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these structural barriers, with resolution hinging on official government announcements of sovereign recognition by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$798,159
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado proposto: Sim

Contestado

Proposta de resultado

Disputa final

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization under frameworks like the Abraham Accords continues to shape prospects for formal state recognition of Israel, though no new recognitions have occurred in 2026. The most recent catalyst is the September 16 agreement between Israel and Morocco to elevate liaison offices to full embassies and appoint ambassadors by year-end, alongside expanded flights and economic pacts, building on their 2020 ties without altering recognition status. Broader efforts remain constrained by linkages to Palestinian statehood questions, regional defense arrangements, and positions of non-recognizing states such as Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and several Arab League or OIC members. Trader consensus in related markets reflects these structural barriers, with resolution hinging on official government announcements of sovereign recognition by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$798,159
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado proposto: Sim

Contestado

Proposta de resultado

Disputa final

Final

Relacionado

icon for A Bélgica reconhecerá a Palestina antes de 2027?

A Bélgica reconhecerá a Palestina antes de 2027?

13%
Sim
icon for Algum país expulsará um embaixador israelense até 31 de dezembro?

Algum país expulsará um embaixador israelense até 31 de dezembro?

31%
Sim
icon for Israel e Indonésia normalizam relações até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Israel e Indonésia normalizam relações até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

7%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Líbano" at 10%, followed by "Venezuela" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $798.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" is "Líbano" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Venezuela" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.