Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPamela Evette 37.8%
David Wilkins 18.6%
Russell Fry 9%
Joe Wilson 6.8%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.

Pamela Evette
38%

David Wilkins
19%

Russell Fry
9%

Joe Wilson
11%

Ralph Norman
7%

Nancy Mace
6%

Alan Wilson
4%

Mick Mulvaney
4%

André Bauer
4%

Paul Dans
3%

Scott Bessent
3%

Bob Peeler
2%

Mark Lynch
2%

Sheri Biggs
2%

William Timmons
1%

Nenhum antes da eleição de meio de mandato
1%
Pamela Evette 37.8%
David Wilkins 18.6%
Russell Fry 9%
Joe Wilson 6.8%
$11,311 Vol.
$11,311 Vol.

Pamela Evette
38%

David Wilkins
19%

Russell Fry
9%

Joe Wilson
11%

Ralph Norman
7%

Nancy Mace
6%

Alan Wilson
4%

Mick Mulvaney
4%

André Bauer
4%

Paul Dans
3%

Scott Bessent
3%

Bob Peeler
2%

Mark Lynch
2%

Sheri Biggs
2%

William Timmons
1%

Nenhum antes da eleição de meio de mandato
1%
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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