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icon for A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?

A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?

icon for A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?

A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?

Sim

14% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

14% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s March 2026 refresh of the M5 MacBook Pro, MacBook Air, and budget models arrived without built-in 5G or LTE modems, relying instead on Continuity features such as Instant Hotspot. This aligns with the broader development timeline for Apple’s in-house C2 cellular modem, which credible reports tie to a major M6 MacBook Pro redesign featuring OLED and touchscreen capabilities expected only in late 2026. No supply-chain leaks, carrier certifications, or FCC filings have surfaced to support a mid-year hardware surprise. While WWDC in early June could include software announcements, historical precedent shows Apple rarely debuts entirely new cellular hardware at developer events, leaving traders with little reason to shift from the current 91.4% consensus on “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,864
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s March 2026 refresh of the M5 MacBook Pro, MacBook Air, and budget models arrived without built-in 5G or LTE modems, relying instead on Continuity features such as Instant Hotspot. This aligns with the broader development timeline for Apple’s in-house C2 cellular modem, which credible reports tie to a major M6 MacBook Pro redesign featuring OLED and touchscreen capabilities expected only in late 2026. No supply-chain leaks, carrier certifications, or FCC filings have surfaced to support a mid-year hardware surprise. While WWDC in early June could include software announcements, historical precedent shows Apple rarely debuts entirely new cellular hardware at developer events, leaving traders with little reason to shift from the current 91.4% consensus on “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,864
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" is "A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A Apple lançará um MacBook com conectividade celular até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.