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icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$786 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro de 2026

$26 Vol.

6%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$748 Vol.

6%

30 de junho de 2027

$11 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, now 78, has consistently signaled through associates and past statements his intent to serve well beyond the current term, with sources confirming no retirement plans for 2026. Earlier speculation around strategic timing before the November midterms has faded without announcements, health concerns, or procedural signals. The absence of public indications from Thomas or the Court, combined with the administration's expressed preference for continuity on the bench, reinforces trader consensus against an imminent departure. Key upcoming factors include the conclusion of the 2025-2026 term and any Senate dynamics post-midterms that could influence confirmation prospects for a successor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$786
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, now 78, has consistently signaled through associates and past statements his intent to serve well beyond the current term, with sources confirming no retirement plans for 2026. Earlier speculation around strategic timing before the November midterms has faded without announcements, health concerns, or procedural signals. The absence of public indications from Thomas or the Court, combined with the administration's expressed preference for continuity on the bench, reinforces trader consensus against an imminent departure. Key upcoming factors include the conclusion of the 2025-2026 term and any Senate dynamics post-midterms that could influence confirmation prospects for a successor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$786
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2027" at 52%, followed by "30 de setembro de 2026" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is "30 de junho de 2027" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro de 2026" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.