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icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

$10,810 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$10,810 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro de 2026

$56 Vol.

4%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$1,323 Vol.

8%

30 de junho de 2027

$9,430 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s most senior justice at age 78, has given no public or private indication of plans to step down, with sources close to him confirming in April 2026 that retirement is not expected this year or in the immediate term. He has previously expressed interest in serving into the 2030s, consistent with his tenure since 1991 and patterns among justices who remain active into their late seventies or beyond. President Trump has publicly favored Thomas and Justice Alito continuing on the bench rather than creating vacancies during the current term. No health developments, ethics controversies, or institutional pressures have altered this outlook, and the court’s new term beginning in October offers no scheduled events tied to retirement timing. Trader consensus on near-term announcement markets reflects these structural and personal factors, with resolution dependent solely on an official statement from Thomas or his representatives.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,810
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s most senior justice at age 78, has given no public or private indication of plans to step down, with sources close to him confirming in April 2026 that retirement is not expected this year or in the immediate term. He has previously expressed interest in serving into the 2030s, consistent with his tenure since 1991 and patterns among justices who remain active into their late seventies or beyond. President Trump has publicly favored Thomas and Justice Alito continuing on the bench rather than creating vacancies during the current term. No health developments, ethics controversies, or institutional pressures have altered this outlook, and the court’s new term beginning in October offers no scheduled events tied to retirement timing. Trader consensus on near-term announcement markets reflects these structural and personal factors, with resolution dependent solely on an official statement from Thomas or his representatives.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,810
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2027" at 11%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is "30 de junho de 2027" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.