Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, reflecting the process's historical rarity—none ever succeeded—and stringent procedural barriers. Despite over 100 Senate impeachment requests in 2026 targeting justices like Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes amid scandals such as the Banco Master case, Justice Mendes' late 2025 ruling limited initiations to the prosecutor general only, suspending broader law provisions pending STF plenary review. Recent backlash over de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law has intensified opposition rhetoric ahead of October 2026 elections, but advancement requires Chamber of Deputies admission followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, deemed improbable without seismic shifts like post-election supermajorities or unprecedented scandals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$70,442 Vol.
$70,442 Vol.
Sim
$70,442 Vol.
$70,442 Vol.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing impeachment removal before 2027, reflecting the process's historical rarity—none ever succeeded—and stringent procedural barriers. Despite over 100 Senate impeachment requests in 2026 targeting justices like Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes amid scandals such as the Banco Master case, Justice Mendes' late 2025 ruling limited initiations to the prosecutor general only, suspending broader law provisions pending STF plenary review. Recent backlash over de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law has intensified opposition rhetoric ahead of October 2026 elections, but advancement requires Chamber of Deputies admission followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, deemed improbable without seismic shifts like post-election supermajorities or unprecedented scandals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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