US-Iran hostilities have continued through targeted airstrikes and responses in the Strait of Hormuz without a formal congressional declaration of war, most recently with US strikes on Iranian sites in late August and early September 2026 followed by Iranian missile actions against regional US positions. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting open conflict and enabling talks on sanctions, navigation, and nuclear issues lapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, shifting focus to economic pressure and limited military measures. President Trump has notified Congress of ongoing operations under existing authorities while weighing declarations of an end to active fighting ahead of midterms, with troop extensions signaling sustained presence. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that formal war authorization remains unlikely absent major escalation or new congressional action.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra ao Irã até...?
$7,807,851 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
3%
$7,807,851 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$835,217 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have continued through targeted airstrikes and responses in the Strait of Hormuz without a formal congressional declaration of war, most recently with US strikes on Iranian sites in late August and early September 2026 followed by Iranian missile actions against regional US positions. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting open conflict and enabling talks on sanctions, navigation, and nuclear issues lapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, shifting focus to economic pressure and limited military measures. President Trump has notified Congress of ongoing operations under existing authorities while weighing declarations of an end to active fighting ahead of midterms, with troop extensions signaling sustained presence. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that formal war authorization remains unlikely absent major escalation or new congressional action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$7,807,851Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran hostilities have continued through targeted airstrikes and responses in the Strait of Hormuz without a formal congressional declaration of war, most recently with US strikes on Iranian sites in late August and early September 2026 followed by Iranian missile actions against regional US positions. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting open conflict and enabling talks on sanctions, navigation, and nuclear issues lapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, shifting focus to economic pressure and limited military measures. President Trump has notified Congress of ongoing operations under existing authorities while weighing declarations of an end to active fighting ahead of midterms, with troop extensions signaling sustained presence. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that formal war authorization remains unlikely absent major escalation or new congressional action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,807,851Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran hostilities have continued through targeted airstrikes and responses in the Strait of Hormuz without a formal congressional declaration of war, most recently with US strikes on Iranian sites in late August and early September 2026 followed by Iranian missile actions against regional US positions. A June memorandum of understanding aimed at halting open conflict and enabling talks on sanctions, navigation, and nuclear issues lapsed amid mutual accusations of violations, shifting focus to economic pressure and limited military measures. President Trump has notified Congress of ongoing operations under existing authorities while weighing declarations of an end to active fighting ahead of midterms, with troop extensions signaling sustained presence. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that formal war authorization remains unlikely absent major escalation or new congressional action.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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