Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied probability that an AI system will reach 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Top models, including Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants, already post 80–88% on updated Tier 4 v2 evaluations released in June 2026, reflecting gains from improved chain-of-thought techniques, tool use, and training scale since early 2025 scores below 40%. Continued releases expected through year-end, combined with historical acceleration on hard math benchmarks, support trader consensus that the threshold will be crossed soon. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential benchmark revisions, evaluation strictness, or unexpected plateaus in novel problem-solving.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМодель ИИ набирает ≥ 90% по FrontierMath Benchmark до 2027 года?
Да
$117,495 Объем
$117,495 Объем
Да
$117,495 Объем
$117,495 Объем
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied probability that an AI system will reach 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Top models, including Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants, already post 80–88% on updated Tier 4 v2 evaluations released in June 2026, reflecting gains from improved chain-of-thought techniques, tool use, and training scale since early 2025 scores below 40%. Continued releases expected through year-end, combined with historical acceleration on hard math benchmarks, support trader consensus that the threshold will be crossed soon. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential benchmark revisions, evaluation strictness, or unexpected plateaus in novel problem-solving.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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