A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
May 15
10%
May 31
16%
$581 Объем
May 15
$148 Объем
10%
May 31
$255 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Объем
$581Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$581Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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