Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" for Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, driven by the absence of any announced bilateral engagements amid his packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, underway since May 13 with bilateral talks focused on trade, technology, Taiwan, and the U.S.-Iran war. China's recent diplomacy with Iran—led by Foreign Minister Wang Yi's May 6 meeting with Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi in Beijing, urging Strait of Hormuz reopening—handled lower-level discussions without Xi's involvement. With under 48 hours remaining and no official statements signaling a Xi-level summit, traders dismiss prospects; only an abrupt, unannounced in-person or virtual encounter could shift odds, though institutional protocols make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
$167,224 Объем
$167,224 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
$167,224 Объем
$167,224 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" for Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, driven by the absence of any announced bilateral engagements amid his packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, underway since May 13 with bilateral talks focused on trade, technology, Taiwan, and the U.S.-Iran war. China's recent diplomacy with Iran—led by Foreign Minister Wang Yi's May 6 meeting with Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi in Beijing, urging Strait of Hormuz reopening—handled lower-level discussions without Xi's involvement. With under 48 hours remaining and no official statements signaling a Xi-level summit, traders dismiss prospects; only an abrupt, unannounced in-person or virtual encounter could shift odds, though institutional protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
Объем
$167,224Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" for Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, driven by the absence of any announced bilateral engagements amid his packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, underway since May 13 with bilateral talks focused on trade, technology, Taiwan, and the U.S.-Iran war. China's recent diplomacy with Iran—led by Foreign Minister Wang Yi's May 6 meeting with Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi in Beijing, urging Strait of Hormuz reopening—handled lower-level discussions without Xi's involvement. With under 48 hours remaining and no official statements signaling a Xi-level summit, traders dismiss prospects; only an abrupt, unannounced in-person or virtual encounter could shift odds, though institutional protocols make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$167,224Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" for Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, driven by the absence of any announced bilateral engagements amid his packed schedule hosting U.S. President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, underway since May 13 with bilateral talks focused on trade, technology, Taiwan, and the U.S.-Iran war. China's recent diplomacy with Iran—led by Foreign Minister Wang Yi's May 6 meeting with Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi in Beijing, urging Strait of Hormuz reopening—handled lower-level discussions without Xi's involvement. With under 48 hours remaining and no official statements signaling a Xi-level summit, traders dismiss prospects; only an abrupt, unannounced in-person or virtual encounter could shift odds, though institutional protocols make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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