Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park has anchored trader sentiment, with multiple supply-chain and analyst reports from Mark Gurman and others confirming expectations for the first book-style foldable iPhone Ultra alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. The device’s near crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, A20 Pro chip, and $2,000-plus price point align with long-rumored timelines that survived earlier manufacturing concerns, while the shift of base iPhone 18 models to 2027 reinforces the event’s focus on premium hardware under incoming CEO John Ternus. With the event just days away, the 74% implied probability for a foldable announcement reflects strong consensus tempered by the possibility of last-minute adjustments or a delayed availability reveal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоApple анонсирует складной iPhone на мероприятии «Сюрприз и блеск»?
Apple анонсирует складной iPhone на мероприятии «Сюрприз и блеск»?
Да
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
Да
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park has anchored trader sentiment, with multiple supply-chain and analyst reports from Mark Gurman and others confirming expectations for the first book-style foldable iPhone Ultra alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. The device’s near crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, A20 Pro chip, and $2,000-plus price point align with long-rumored timelines that survived earlier manufacturing concerns, while the shift of base iPhone 18 models to 2027 reinforces the event’s focus on premium hardware under incoming CEO John Ternus. With the event just days away, the 74% implied probability for a foldable announcement reflects strong consensus tempered by the possibility of last-minute adjustments or a delayed availability reveal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Объем
$55Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park has anchored trader sentiment, with multiple supply-chain and analyst reports from Mark Gurman and others confirming expectations for the first book-style foldable iPhone Ultra alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. The device’s near crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, A20 Pro chip, and $2,000-plus price point align with long-rumored timelines that survived earlier manufacturing concerns, while the shift of base iPhone 18 models to 2027 reinforces the event’s focus on premium hardware under incoming CEO John Ternus. With the event just days away, the 74% implied probability for a foldable announcement reflects strong consensus tempered by the possibility of last-minute adjustments or a delayed availability reveal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$55Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official August 26 invitation for the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park has anchored trader sentiment, with multiple supply-chain and analyst reports from Mark Gurman and others confirming expectations for the first book-style foldable iPhone Ultra alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. The device’s near crease-free 7.8-inch inner display, titanium hinge, A20 Pro chip, and $2,000-plus price point align with long-rumored timelines that survived earlier manufacturing concerns, while the shift of base iPhone 18 models to 2027 reinforces the event’s focus on premium hardware under incoming CEO John Ternus. With the event just days away, the 74% implied probability for a foldable announcement reflects strong consensus tempered by the possibility of last-minute adjustments or a delayed availability reveal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы