Elevated near-term inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at its June 18 meeting, reflected in the 85.0% market-implied probability of no change. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3%, driven by higher motor fuel and energy costs that the Monetary Policy Committee projects will push inflation higher through the third quarter before easing. While the labor market continues to loosen, reducing risks of persistent second-round effects, recent Bank communications emphasize vigilance against any sustained deviation from the 2% target. This backdrop has tempered earlier expectations for near-term easing, with only a modest 14.5% implied chance of a 25-basis-point hike amid ongoing uncertainty in energy markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка Англии в июне?
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$145,174 Объем
$145,174 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$145,174 Объем
$145,174 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated near-term inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict have anchored trader expectations for the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% at its June 18 meeting, reflected in the 85.0% market-implied probability of no change. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3%, driven by higher motor fuel and energy costs that the Monetary Policy Committee projects will push inflation higher through the third quarter before easing. While the labor market continues to loosen, reducing risks of persistent second-round effects, recent Bank communications emphasize vigilance against any sustained deviation from the 2% target. This backdrop has tempered earlier expectations for near-term easing, with only a modest 14.5% implied chance of a 25-basis-point hike amid ongoing uncertainty in energy markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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