Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s recent hold at 3.75% and cautious stance amid elevated energy prices. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by transport and fuel costs linked to Middle East supply disruptions, prompting the Bank to flag potential rate increases later this year if oil remains above $130 per barrel. Futures markets now price roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, yet the June meeting is viewed as too proximate to the April hold for immediate action. June CPI data and any fresh geopolitical developments will shape the final pricing ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка Англии в июне?
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$147,279 Объем
$147,279 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
Без изменений 85%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. <1%
$147,279 Объем
$147,279 Объем
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
<1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
<1%
Без изменений
85%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
15%
Повышение более чем на 50 б.п.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s recent hold at 3.75% and cautious stance amid elevated energy prices. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, driven by transport and fuel costs linked to Middle East supply disruptions, prompting the Bank to flag potential rate increases later this year if oil remains above $130 per barrel. Futures markets now price roughly 60 basis points of hikes by year-end, yet the June meeting is viewed as too proximate to the April hold for immediate action. June CPI data and any fresh geopolitical developments will shape the final pricing ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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