US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug trafficking and weapons charges. They pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 after pretrial hearings; neither has formally sought bail, and defense efforts include immunity arguments tied to Maduro’s former role. Trader assessments of release timing or conditions reflect the extended detention outlook, limited immediate diplomatic levers, and any potential shifts from ongoing court rulings or US-Venezuela policy developments before the trial window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
$1,375,000 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
16%
$1,375,000 Объем
31 декабря
$328,398 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug trafficking and weapons charges. They pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 after pretrial hearings; neither has formally sought bail, and defense efforts include immunity arguments tied to Maduro’s former role. Trader assessments of release timing or conditions reflect the extended detention outlook, limited immediate diplomatic levers, and any potential shifts from ongoing court rulings or US-Venezuela policy developments before the trial window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Объем
$1,375,000Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug trafficking and weapons charges. They pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 after pretrial hearings; neither has formally sought bail, and defense efforts include immunity arguments tied to Maduro’s former role. Trader assessments of release timing or conditions reflect the extended detention outlook, limited immediate diplomatic levers, and any potential shifts from ongoing court rulings or US-Venezuela policy developments before the trial window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,375,000Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug trafficking and weapons charges. They pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with a June 2027 trial date set in July 2026 after pretrial hearings; neither has formally sought bail, and defense efforts include immunity arguments tied to Maduro’s former role. Trader assessments of release timing or conditions reflect the extended detention outlook, limited immediate diplomatic levers, and any potential shifts from ongoing court rulings or US-Venezuela policy developments before the trial window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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