The market shows overwhelming trader consensus around Elon Musk posting under 40 tweets across the August 15-17 window, reflecting his moderated activity on X in recent weeks amid a focus on operational priorities at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX rather than rapid-fire commentary. No major breaking news events, product launches, or public controversies have emerged to drive elevated engagement during this stretch, consistent with quieter posting stretches seen in non-crisis periods. Historical patterns indicate Musk’s volume fluctuates with real-time developments and personal schedule, yet current sentiment treats sustained low-to-moderate output as the baseline. Any late-breaking announcement before the close could still alter the trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМенее 40 62%
40-64 36%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$439,285 Объем
$439,285 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
62%
40-64
36%
65-89
<1%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140–164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
Менее 40 62%
40-64 36%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$439,285 Объем
$439,285 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$118,448 Объем
62%
40-64
$69,851 Объем
36%
65-89
$96,809 Объем
<1%
90-114
$68,031 Объем
<1%
115-139
$48,694 Объем
<1%
140–164
$16,923 Объем
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Объем
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Объем
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Объем
<1%
240+
$4,113 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows overwhelming trader consensus around Elon Musk posting under 40 tweets across the August 15-17 window, reflecting his moderated activity on X in recent weeks amid a focus on operational priorities at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX rather than rapid-fire commentary. No major breaking news events, product launches, or public controversies have emerged to drive elevated engagement during this stretch, consistent with quieter posting stretches seen in non-crisis periods. Historical patterns indicate Musk’s volume fluctuates with real-time developments and personal schedule, yet current sentiment treats sustained low-to-moderate output as the baseline. Any late-breaking announcement before the close could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$439,285Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows overwhelming trader consensus around Elon Musk posting under 40 tweets across the August 15-17 window, reflecting his moderated activity on X in recent weeks amid a focus on operational priorities at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX rather than rapid-fire commentary. No major breaking news events, product launches, or public controversies have emerged to drive elevated engagement during this stretch, consistent with quieter posting stretches seen in non-crisis periods. Historical patterns indicate Musk’s volume fluctuates with real-time developments and personal schedule, yet current sentiment treats sustained low-to-moderate output as the baseline. Any late-breaking announcement before the close could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$439,285Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market shows overwhelming trader consensus around Elon Musk posting under 40 tweets across the August 15-17 window, reflecting his moderated activity on X in recent weeks amid a focus on operational priorities at xAI, Tesla, and SpaceX rather than rapid-fire commentary. No major breaking news events, product launches, or public controversies have emerged to drive elevated engagement during this stretch, consistent with quieter posting stretches seen in non-crisis periods. Historical patterns indicate Musk’s volume fluctuates with real-time developments and personal schedule, yet current sentiment treats sustained low-to-moderate output as the baseline. Any late-breaking announcement before the close could still alter the trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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