Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 21%
200–219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,289,657 Объем
$4,289,657 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
1%
120-139
3%
140–159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
21%
200–219
19%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440–459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
200–219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,289,657 Объем
$4,289,657 Объем
22 мая 2026 г.
60-79
$260,849 Объем
<1%
80-99
$267,171 Объем
<1%
100–119
$241,139 Объем
1%
120-139
$178,212 Объем
3%
140–159
$157,668 Объем
11%
160-179
$132,012 Объем
18%
180-199
$113,489 Объем
21%
200–219
$156,612 Объем
19%
220-239
$147,039 Объем
12%
240-259
$110,949 Объем
8%
260-279
$126,388 Объем
5%
280-299
$118,582 Объем
2%
300-319
$133,013 Объем
1%
320-339
$114,579 Объем
1%
340-359
$142,428 Объем
<1%
360-379
$136,455 Объем
<1%
380–399
$160,856 Объем
<1%
400-419
$168,844 Объем
<1%
420-439
$238,020 Объем
<1%
440–459
$121,203 Объем
<1%
460-479
$125,876 Объем
<1%
480-499
$168,834 Объем
<1%
500+
$269,821 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$4,289,657Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$4,289,657Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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