Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено840–879 11.5%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,377 Объем
$3,153,377 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380–399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420–439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460–479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600–619
1%
620–639
1%
640-659
2%
660–679
2%
680-699
6%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760–779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840–879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040–1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160–1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360–1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440–1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840–879 11.5%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,377 Объем
$3,153,377 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
340-359
$69,472 Объем
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Объем
<1%
380–399
$58,220 Объем
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Объем
<1%
420–439
$43,409 Объем
<1%
440-459
$54,448 Объем
<1%
460–479
$63,303 Объем
<1%
480-499
$58,581 Объем
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Объем
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Объем
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Объем
1%
560-579
$43,735 Объем
1%
580-599
$49,462 Объем
1%
600–619
$43,146 Объем
1%
620–639
$39,705 Объем
1%
640-659
$44,359 Объем
2%
660–679
$38,789 Объем
2%
680-699
$35,186 Объем
6%
700-719
$46,112 Объем
4%
720-739
$48,036 Объем
4%
740-759
$39,927 Объем
5%
760–779
$41,056 Объем
5%
780-799
$43,977 Объем
6%
800-839
$46,114 Объем
10%
840–879
$36,714 Объем
12%
880-919
$40,160 Объем
9%
920-959
$37,623 Объем
10%
960-999
$35,340 Объем
8%
1000-1039
$36,401 Объем
5%
1040–1079
$33,379 Объем
4%
1080-1119
$40,381 Объем
2%
1120-1159
$50,754 Объем
1%
1160–1199
$56,655 Объем
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Объем
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Объем
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Объем
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Объем
<1%
1360–1399
$44,609 Объем
<1%
1400-1439
$74,304 Объем
<1%
1440–1479
$45,365 Объем
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Объем
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Объем
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Объем
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Объем
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Объем
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Объем
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Объем
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Объем
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$3,153,377Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,153,377Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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