Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФедеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
Федеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,191Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,191Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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